BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 137 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend, we’ve got a 14-fight card at Brazil. DraftKings has some decent contests available with this Fight Night card, which is uncommon for these free ones. The principal tourney is the $8 entry and pays $20k to 1st. That’s the principal GPP I will be pursuing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and single entry GPPs as well. But this week DraftKings has two contests for trips out to Vegas to see that the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Fights all, hotel, and flight paid for. The floor chairs contest is a $33 entrance and the non-floor seats contest is only a $15 entrance. I am going to need to take a few shots in that as well. Also, DraftKings just released a competition for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry having a massive $100,000 to 1st place. That is by far the greatest prize we have ever seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we can shoot a few extra shots at that $100k. With that said, here are a few plays I like this week in Addition to my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is the safest win on the card and that I believe she gets this battle ended early. This is where I am starting my money LUs this week. Only give me the -1100 favored who’s being fed an easy win , for my cash games. I really do like a lot of the top favorites with this card, I just are the most shocked if Souza lost. I think she is good in both formats, but she will most likely be chalky in GPPs, so money games would be the best place to get your Souza investment this week. Take this win, and then find 3 others and you need to be useful in money games.
GPP drama of this week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I’m a large Charles»Do Bronx» Oliveira fan, and he’s a few of my own favorites submissions in UFC history. I think we could see another awesome one here. This battle seems easy to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and when he could get it then he probably receives a 1st round sub. If this happens he must lock up a strong 100 points and I am pretty certain in being the outcome of the fight, so that’s why he’s my GPP play of this week. He’s also my GPP play of the week, and not my Cash play of the week for a motive. If he can not get the takedown(s) early, then he will likely quit and get finished himself together with strikes. I don’t like that risk of a reduced floor for my cash LU, therefore I favor Souza there. However, in GPPs I like saving the $200 and moving down to Do Bronx.
Underdog play of this week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I would like Anders a lot more if he was not carrying this fight on short notice, and when it was not in Brazil. However he can have a clear path to success here and that is by knocking out Santos who does not have a fantastic chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this fight and he can win with a few tough GNP too. At $7.6k he’ll almost surely end up on the winning LU if he is ready to get the KO. This is the main event, so he will have 5 rounds to work with. I really do think that is a good matchup for Anders, however he has to be aggressive and not hang out to the outside. When he hangs out to the exterior too long Santos will consume him up with kicks and it could be a short night for Anders. I am going to select him to get the win as an underdog in Brazil and I think he has it done in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it’ll win you a GPP if you’re able to get your additional five spots correct as well.
Fade of this week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is always a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of this week on here, I was very wrong and that he scored over 100 points. Then so be it if this happens again here. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO triumph to pay off a 9.2k salary by a man who doesn’t throw many strikes. At $9.2k I need at least 92 points out of Alvey when I roster him and the only real way get gets that’s using a 1st round KO win. That could occur here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not willing to spend my money in it.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on each struggle, my private approaches & recommendations, and also my pick prediction for every single fight then you can find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can go to this link below:
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