FULL UFC 177 BETTING ODDS (UPDATED WITH LATE ADDITIONS, INJURY REPLACEMENT)
Together with the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just more than three weeks away, it’s time to begin having a look at the betting odds for the card. Two streaks on the card already have lines introduced, and they are about as different as can be. At the primary event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the man he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first fight, Barao closed as a enormous -910 favorite (bet $910 to acquire $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male member dominated that first fight, scoring a fifth-round TKO in one of the greatest anti upsets in UFC history. This time, the odds are much nearer, with Dillashaw sitting at -140 and Barao the small underdog in +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight extra bouts on the card which up until now did not have betting lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas changed that today as he published the full UFC 177 gambling odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ———- MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Analysis: I really want Bethe Correia to win this battle, so that I never have to hear anything about the absurd»Four Horsewomen» ever again. Nevertheless, Correia has never confronted anyone of Baszler’s skill level, particularly when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler is able to sift through Correia’s drag and striking this fight to the floor where she’ll have a distinct advantage. The biggest worry for me is all about Baszler’s long layoff and harm woes of late, and it is more than sufficient to keep me away from gambling her. Tony Ferguson seems like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been labeled on the feet a few times prior to, and unlike his charms against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuani, he won’t be able to fall back on his wrestling if the striking does not go to plan. This ought to be quite competitive in most areas, but Ferguson has minor edges which should propel him to success. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decrease in his performances of late night makes him look more like a 37-year-old. He looked totally listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was immediately dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the other hand, Derek Brunson provided the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s career in his latest bout. It seems like Larkin was extremely overvalued as a prospect while in Strikeforce, while Brunson had been missed. This is a very difficult bout to call in terms of a side or a complete, so I will probably stay away completely. On the other hand, I think Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem might have a wrestling advantage , but even that’s questionable. Ferreira is the much better entry grappler, and likely even the better striker at this stage (although Nijem’s improvement in that respect last time out was nice to see). I anticipate Ferreira to get the win, and probably put another finish on his resume either from his entry abilities or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo always made for interesting bouts when he had been confronting completely overmatched competition, so he’s up against a legitimate evaluation in Scott Jorgensen, I must admit this is among my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical benefits here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling advantage, naturally. He might not have the well-rounded skill set to stop Jorgensen, but I believe he wins rounds with takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo handed one of the important tests for prospects in his last outing as well, becoming broken square on the jaw and shaking it off to win not just the combat, but round too. The big question with Cejudo, as always, is: how concentrated is he? Perhaps being signed by the UFC was the impetus he had to start taking the sport seriously, as in his previous appearances (and non-appearances) with Legacy FC, it’s quite obvious he’s been coasting at times. Against Jorgensen he might not be able to get away with a half effort, and if he does it’ll make him even more particular. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with decidedly less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His sole loss came into UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he’s generally been able to control and outhustle opponents to pick up choices. That will be hard against Ruslan Magomedov, who actually possesses decent cardio for a heavyweight, to go along with his strong striking. Coming off of almost a year layoff, it’s difficult to expect much from Odoms, so I anticipate Magomedov to pick up the win, but he is someone I fully expect to fade if he can pick up a few more wins and confront adequate competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too fast, and should nearly be snuffed out at this point. His striking defense looked atrocious against the two Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, along with his entry match was practically non-existent since he was exploited within minutes of hitting the floor against Miller. Maybe that may work to the advantage of his backers from Justin Edwards however, as Edwards isn’t UFC caliber, even at this point. Edwards has a fantastic guillotine, rather than many other abilities, so Medeiros has this struggle to win as long as he does not dive in that weapon. Edwards will probably come out quickly, because he should know that a win will indicate the conclusion of the UFC employ. Talking of pink-slip derbies, the failure of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will probably be shown the door as well, since both put on putrid dislpays within their UFC debuts. Potts is an aggressive — but not overly talented — grappler, while Hamilton showed massive holes in his grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the other hand, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was put out with one shot on the floor against Soa Palelei. Either guy could finish this fight quickly and I wouldn’t be amazed, or else they could play it safe and we can be treated to some truly awful heavyweight MMA. In case the price for this particular bout to go over 1.5 rounds is large enough, I may just have a shot there in hopes the bout is of the bad variety, but I can not see myself putting much greater than Monopoly money down on this competition.
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