LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come into this Saturdays match.
LSU went to Texas and defeat against the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp last weekend. However, in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams seem to take over a top-four place in the race .
The defense of florida leads the solution in their opinion. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a point from the 4th quarter because their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into creating several decisions as he went 11 with three INTs.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school football. That contains the 45 they dumped on the street on Texas.
With the roar of Death Valley awaiting, the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs on BetNow. Does the No. 5 scoring defense keep this near and cover the spread? Or will Burrow as well as also the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling and likewise win the wager? Here is the breakdown.
Theres very little uncertainty in the ability of Burrow anymore. Hes converted into a Heisman candidate, obtaining a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
He is also working with one of the very best receiving teams in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages above 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length with his 63 frame and has dominated in some big games. Chase is a existence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal that can fill the spot. It is all a part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the DB unit they have played with throughout the year. Northwestern State is an FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by LSU opponents: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Georgia Southern 111th.
Florida sits in 33rd, though its safe to say they have yet to perform with a QB of all Burrows standard. Theyve played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a huge amount of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but has a large ceiling for a cover guy.
Burrow will even confront a, which will be fully healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, believed to function as coming into this season, is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) over the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has yet to get flustered by an opposing defensive line, Even though his consciousness have to enhance from the pocket. Auburns is the best in the country, and ranks 11th in defensive lineup yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st in LY and is 85th in sack speed. Theyll rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. Even the Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not portable outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and also sprained a knee in the game.
With the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to produce big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dash) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most frequently considered DBU for the talent they possess on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman group, or even more, in 2019.
On the other side of him would likely soon be Kristian Fulton, who allowed the least amount of downs out of returning FBS corners. Although this group is in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, itll be a force if given an opportunity against a pressured Trask.
Balance will be crucial as ever for Florida, who hasnt got their running game this year going. A tackle broke at the point on his way to a 88-yard TD run last weekend. In spite of this, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and also is currently going up against the No. 1 d-line concerning power success (short-yardage situations).
Even though the LSU front may not be potent. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and thats including Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep that shut out the Kentucky match.
Should they dont buy Dameon or Perine Pierce going it puts a lot of pressure on Trask in a hostile atmosphere.
Florida has earned admiration from the school football world. And while I dont expect them to come out with a win from LSU from Death Valley, I really do see this sport staying most.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs from the FBS. But LSU is not going to install 45 or anything close to this. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will wear out with time, since the team has relied on them. Marco Wilson will be the subject from the physical Chase or Jefferson to some PIs.
However, I dont anticipate this until late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the match in enough of a slog till afterward makes Florida the appropriate wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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