LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come with announcement victories into this Saturdays match.
LSU moved to Texas and defeat against the Longhorns per week 2. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. However, during this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams look to take over a top-four spot in the race .
Floridas defense leads the solution for them. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a point from the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 for 27 with three INTs into creating bad decisions that were several last week.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback and has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school football. This contains the 45 they dumped on the street on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs around BetNow , the Gators come in with Death Valley awaitings roar. Does the No. cover the spread and 5 scoring defense keep this near? Or will Burrow as well as the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling up and likewise win the wager? Here is the breakdown.
Theres hardly any uncertainty in Burrows ability . Hes converted to a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the receiving groups in the country. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame and has mastered in some huge games. Chase is an actual presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal who can fill the area. Its all part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the DB unit theyve played all season. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by LSU competitions: Vanderbilt 128th, Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, and Utah State 103rd.
Although its safe to say theyve yet to play with a QB of all the standard of Burrow, florida sits at 33rd. They have played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a ton of havoc in the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on irregular so far in the other corner spot, but nevertheless has a large ceiling as a cover guy.
Burrow will confront a ominous pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami over the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, believed to function as coming into this season, is coming back from injury. With him on one side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line will be tested.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered with an opposing line Even though his awareness need to improve from the pocket. Auburns according ranks 11th in lineup yards, and is the very best in the nation to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and will be 85th in sack speed. Theyll rely upon blitzing LBs to help throw Trask. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not portable out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and also sprained a knee in the previous match.
With all the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit should produce big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is frequently considered DBU for the talent they possess on the perimeter of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman group, or even longer, in 2019.
On the other side of him will be out of returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, that let the smallest sum of first downs last year. Though this group is currently 69th in passing yards allowed per-game, it will be given a chance against a driven Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, who has not got their running game this year going. A tackle broke at the line on his approach . In spite of this, the Florida o-line ranks 113th based on yards and also is currently going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy achievement (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front might not be strong. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and that is including Perines long term and also a 76-yard receiver sweep that shut out the Kentucky game.
It puts ways too much stress on Trask at a hostile environment if they dont get Dameon or Perine Pierce going frequently.
Florida has earned respect after week from the college football world. And while I dont expect them to come out with a win against LSU in Death Valley, I really do see this game remaining many.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs in the FBS. However, LSU isnt likely to install 45 or something close to that against a defense whos proven at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will probably work out over time, since the staff has relied on them far too much to change the tide in games. Marco Wilson will be the subject against Jefferson or the Chase to some PIs.
But I do not expect this till late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the match in enough of a slog until afterward makes Florida the suitable wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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