NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018 odds and picks: Advanced model locks in surprising predictions for GoBowling at The Glen

After launching at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR in Watkins Glen 2018, which conducts Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It is the second road course race of the season and Denny Hamlin, recorded at 10-1 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds, won the pole on Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road wins, including two at Watkins Glen, but his final win at The Glen was back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling in The Glen last year and can be recorded at 4-1 odds. Before you make any 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen picks, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has a proven track record in multiple sports. It also powers McClure’s DFS projections, that have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big racing events like this have been in his blood, and his version was crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has already made several huge calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick at the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 as well as Harvick’s win at the KC Masterpiece 400. It also nailed five of the top 10 in Bristol and a couple of the top five at Daytona, simply to name a couple. Anyone following its picks this season is way, way up.

Now the 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

1 surprising pick from the version for GoBowling in The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, getting the third-best NASCAR in Watkins Glen odds to win at 6-1, doesn’t sniff the best 10. He is a driver to prevent on Sunday despite his leading starting position of third.

Elliott remains in search of the first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series triumph. He’s cracked the top 10 in four of the last seven starts, but was just 19th at Chicago and 34th at Daytona a month. Last year at Watkins Glen, Elliott again started close to the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest speed (124.520 mph) at the last practices for GoBowling at The Glen 2018, but the version says he’s a favorite to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., getting the second-best chances at 4-1, does not even finish in the top five.

He has had plenty of success on road tracks, such as winning last year. But he’s a risky choice at these odds because he has an average finish position of 12th at Watkins Glen in his career and has completed 10th or worse in three of the last six races . There are better values available within this Go Bowling in The Glen area.

Instead, the model is targeting two enormous underdogs with chances longer than 30-1 that are poised to make a serious run in the checkered flag, such as a monster long haul. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could hit it rich.

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