UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays

Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both men come into this battle career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a large factor and there a not many tougher than Blachowicz. Santos yells everything with complete power and is based on completing opponents. At a five round combat this approach is a risky one that will backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of his own but conserves cardio to get a more consistent outcome. On the toes both men can get their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz is likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet crazy and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz around the floor. Since Santos tires the takedowns will be open and Santos has struggled in the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt abilities should find Blachowicz a finish once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz at 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what should be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is quick with his in and out striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the feet with a riskier style. He keeps his hands but does throw aggressive combinations. The significant differential lies at the grappling section. Alvarez has not shown good takedown defense on the regional scene and is based on high risk submissions off his back. Against UFC calibre competitions this strategy seldom succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and search for excursions and takedowns to the mat in which he favours control and top position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov at 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Units to acquire 1.70 Units.
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